Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 10.924508 12.469808 14.161578 16.152153 18.431641 20.962134 23.986791
2026-01-25 8.622280 10.597544 12.927890 15.883731 19.539123 23.919360 29.578956
2026-02-01 7.255444 9.397833 12.063162 15.629974 20.290451 26.190132 34.253300
2026-02-08 6.272861 8.482240 11.353368 15.368952 20.859714 28.133530 38.549514
2026-02-15 5.515044 7.740410 10.743619 15.108123 21.316825 29.874339 42.639204
2026-02-22 5.189091 7.533368 10.807527 15.734970 23.002246 33.388633 49.472528
2026-03-01 4.805876 7.194095 10.635096 15.980722 24.128324 36.164413 55.451978
2026-03-08 4.397357 6.770234 10.288271 15.915624 24.756526 38.221624 60.493303
2026-03-15 4.029070 6.367709 9.928572 15.781928 25.242145 40.068219 65.330381
2026-03-22 3.857307 6.251471 9.991423 16.302803 26.785825 43.674633 73.290677
2026-03-29 3.683424 6.113244 10.001949 16.729752 28.197916 47.164772 81.347439
2026-04-05 3.551370 6.029713 10.089167 17.282122 29.852354 51.172961 90.624159
2026-04-12 3.247798 5.635641 9.634700 16.884772 29.861383 52.411441 95.210402
2026-04-19 2.996139 5.309604 9.268309 16.606336 30.048730 53.965167 100.493139
2026-04-26 2.772495 5.013466 8.928025 16.340618 30.226044 55.497559 105.847360
2026-05-03 2.569708 4.737755 8.600749 16.067388 30.358059 56.942549 111.141767
2026-05-10 2.386150 4.482259 8.289096 15.794363 30.460425 58.326687 116.419919
2026-05-17 2.344971 4.489524 8.460925 16.450530 32.397938 63.361868 129.404189
2026-05-24 2.253856 4.393620 8.430013 16.707786 33.567153 66.983117 139.823890
2026-05-31 2.129808 4.223668 8.243527 16.639640 34.072414 69.311429 147.742136
2026-06-07 2.007239 4.047188 8.030711 16.499685 34.414928 71.327130 155.160455
2026-06-14 1.968668 4.037187 8.147244 17.044951 36.229932 76.538646 170.004803
2026-06-21 1.921061 4.004728 8.215172 17.491911 37.868686 81.503304 184.746345